Path: news.nzbot.com!not-for-mail
From: "winder" <winder21@yahoo.com>
Newsgroups: alt.gambling
Subject: Bookies dirty tricks exposed
Date: 22 Jun 2005 09:56:39 -0700
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One big advantages a bookies has over a players is they know the
average players have limited knowledge in odds,probability and
gambling.I call them the experts in the soccerbetting industry.Their
betting experience is much better than the average punters in the
market.They knew how the general market conceives the money lines and
how to tweak the line to their advantages.Their initial capital is also
much higher than the average punters.
They do however has cons that is they are exposed to the pros who
shares their profit and another cons is they have to set aside about
20%-30% of their profits to bad debts.These bad debts are incurred by
punters who bets big and lose thus unable to pay up their wager.
So does a bookies makes much money by the vigourish /or water money
alone.The answer is no unless their daily transcations are of large
volumes.So where did the rest of the income comes from? They bet
against the punters.They knew their customers well understanding their
betting behaviour and analyse their punters.For instance which are
their favourite team?Is he a dog players or a favourite players?
Why is it neccessary to do all this analysis?This is to helps the
bookies to shade the moneyline accordingly inorder to maximise their
total profit.For example
Bookies X knew punter A is a favourite players so he will shade the
line as below
Example 1
Actual odds
man utd vs westbrom AH -11/2 win 925
He will tell punter A man utd -11/2 win 825
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Example 2
Bookies X knew punter B is a dog players so he will shade the line as
below
Example 2
Actual odds
Man utd vs westbrom AH -11/2 win 925
He will tell punter B man utd -11/2 choose win 9 for both teams.
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Example 3
Bookies X knew punter C is a pros who wins often , he will accepts his
bets and lays it off to other bookies and gladly accepts those that
bets that differs from punter C and sits back to count his money.If
bookies X himself is a good player himself, he will remove punter C
from his customer list so as to reduce his profit sharing burden or if
he belong to those untrustworthy ones he refused to pay you a single
cents.What they want are suckers not pros who will share their profits.
Best regards
Winder,Windersports
http://www.geocities.com/winder21/winderexpertsoccerpicks.htm
winder expert picks-Asian handicap specialist to european soccer
fixtures.
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